Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.693415 0.818407 0.954055 1.111546 1.288681 1.481076 1.705145
2025-05-04 0.482649 0.651500 0.853549 1.109831 1.422721 1.788727 2.245402
2025-05-11 0.336914 0.518444 0.756717 1.084043 1.512962 2.046484 2.749878
2025-05-18 0.250495 0.435908 0.700684 1.090631 1.632843 2.341755 3.317875
2025-05-25 0.181444 0.357820 0.631573 1.062246 1.694548 2.558756 3.794502
2025-06-01 0.140853 0.311843 0.597872 1.074314 1.806476 2.844192 4.373691
2025-06-08 0.107580 0.268257 0.557921 1.067769 1.885572 3.084010 4.899400
2025-06-15 0.091041 0.251038 0.557804 1.122055 2.057852 3.464674 5.640149
2025-06-22 0.074630 0.228908 0.544134 1.150141 2.188730 3.789133 6.313247
2025-06-29 0.056757 0.197268 0.505974 1.129213 2.236007 3.987025 6.806635
2025-07-06 0.046316 0.179900 0.492355 1.149585 2.351337 4.293510 7.473295
2025-07-13 0.037069 0.162055 0.473963 1.157718 2.444577 4.567926 8.100497
2025-07-20 0.029224 0.145380 0.455823 1.165961 2.542039 4.860110 8.778165
2025-07-27 0.022246 0.127944 0.432245 1.160276 2.614214 5.115712 9.411915
2025-08-03 0.015978 0.108981 0.400174 1.131901 2.641223 5.296613 9.934013
2025-08-10 0.012264 0.097622 0.385087 1.137980 2.733025 5.590793 10.649537
2025-08-17 0.008548 0.082845 0.356276 1.108319 2.751689 5.758028 11.161965
2025-08-24 0.006567 0.075139 0.346167 1.120655 2.853777 6.074784 11.931683
2025-08-31 0.004741 0.066133 0.329294 1.113830 2.915479 6.321309 12.591060
2025-09-07 0.004087 0.064599 0.337050 1.169901 3.111635 6.818608 13.691265
2025-09-14 0.003244 0.060447 0.334529 1.198906 3.251949 7.218829 14.636939
2025-09-21 0.002175 0.052137 0.314062 1.177279 3.281254 7.414422 15.235095
2025-09-28 0.001652 0.048266 0.309502 1.198324 3.404998 7.790905 16.158710